Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.876564 1.000523 1.135590 1.293672 1.473621 1.672098 1.907649
2025-02-16 0.686331 0.856070 1.057667 1.314708 1.633785 2.016991 2.512490
2025-02-23 0.561240 0.745074 0.977027 1.291095 1.705381 2.233503 2.958647
2025-03-02 0.479188 0.669441 0.921668 1.280391 1.777661 2.443191 3.402913
2025-03-09 0.422581 0.617053 0.886165 1.285548 1.863492 2.670259 3.884048
2025-03-16 0.377575 0.573626 0.855539 1.290187 1.943827 2.891287 4.371869
2025-03-23 0.342747 0.539924 0.833575 1.302376 2.032573 3.128023 4.900163
2025-03-30 0.304068 0.495394 0.789768 1.275182 2.056316 3.266163 5.287264
2025-04-06 0.271325 0.456216 0.749503 1.248010 2.075078 3.394879 5.666939
2025-04-13 0.240198 0.416105 0.703306 1.205659 2.063490 3.471510 5.965227
2025-04-20 0.233679 0.416330 0.722737 1.273319 2.239335 3.867461 6.828921
2025-04-27 0.226082 0.413729 0.736768 1.332351 2.404689 4.258211 7.716463
2025-05-04 0.216495 0.407000 0.743604 1.380447 2.557250 4.643581 8.636898
2025-05-11 0.203693 0.393148 0.736511 1.402756 2.665522 4.960360 9.463648
2025-05-18 0.185688 0.367638 0.705600 1.377571 2.682800 5.112210 9.995780
2025-05-25 0.171411 0.347797 0.683268 1.366154 2.724261 5.310930 10.632530
2025-06-01 0.160621 0.333696 0.670454 1.371655 2.798232 5.576139 11.420059
2025-06-08 0.150767 0.320480 0.658072 1.376603 2.870973 5.843970 12.234869
2025-06-15 0.142626 0.309989 0.650112 1.389603 2.960741 6.152118 13.157595
2025-06-22 0.131054 0.291102 0.623249 1.360598 2.960242 6.276253 13.705904
2025-06-29 0.120562 0.273537 0.597558 1.331617 2.956850 6.393278 14.247810
2025-07-06 0.109624 0.253938 0.565786 1.286444 2.914079 6.422878 14.600785
2025-07-13 0.109255 0.258160 0.586139 1.358612 3.136784 7.041710 16.314106